CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2024-12-09T06:36:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2024-12-09T06:36ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/35532/-1
CME Note: CME faintly seen to the SE in SOHO LASCO C2/C3 and STEREO A COR2. The source is unclear, and may be one of several minor candidate source eruptions on the disk, including some brightening from AR 3917 (near S05E05) starting around 2024-12-09T01:56Z in GOES SUVI 195 or some faint dimming starting around 2024-12-09T01:00Z around S50E10 in GOES SUVI 195.
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2024-12-13T22:00Z (-7.0h, +7.0h)
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 3.0 - 4.0
Prediction Method: WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NASA M2M)
Prediction Method Note:
https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/WSA-ENLIL/35534/1 Model Inputs: 2024-12-09T06:36:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=-32.0, Lat.=-33.0, Speed=250.0, HalfAngle=26.0, Time21.5=2024-12-09T19:30Z Model Output: Earth Impact: Earth Shock Arrival Time = 2024-12-13T22:00Z (+- 7 hours) (kp)90=3 (kp)180=4 Other Location(s) Impact: Lucy with esitmated shock arrival time 2024-12-13T22:00Z Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241209_193000_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241209_193000_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241209_193000_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241209_193000_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241209_193000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241209_193000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Kp_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241209_193000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241209_193000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_PSP_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241209_193000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241209_193000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Merc_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241209_193000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241209_193000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Lucy_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241209_193000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Bepi_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241209_193000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Venus_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241209_193000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Juice_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241209_193000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20241209_193000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_EuropaClippr_timeline.gifLead Time: 98.67 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Mary Aronne (M2M SWAO) on 2024-12-09T19:20Z
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